Why May Lebanon Fear Biden's Win?

When Donald Trump moved the American embassy to Jerusalem, Lebanon protested against their political elites and demanded to have them replaced.

According to Foreign Policy, the Lebanese people are hoping to get more support from the winner, especially with the Palestinian cause.

Yet, Lebanese should care what they wish for. Because such diplomacy will focus on what Lebanon can do for the U.S.

For example, Hezbollah, and its Shia ally the Amal movement gave in to American pressure and permitted Lebanon’s government to engage in talks with Israel to resolve their dispute over maritime boundaries.

According to FP, Hezbollah’s surrender to the talks with Israel came with Iran’s counsel. Both agreed to avoid more American sanctions from Trump's administration.

Yet, the extent to which Hezbollah, and Iran, agree to further concessions to reform the Lebanese economy could depend on what the next U.S. administration decides it wants for the region.

Joe Biden has said that, if he wins the election, the United States will rejoin the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), also known as the Iran nuclear deal, and end Trump’s maximum pressure policy against Tehran.

According to FP, many in Lebanon feel that, although Trump’s pressure campaign did not force Hezbollah to give up its weapons, it at least squeezed Hezbollah financially.

Whether Biden wins or Trump returns, Lebanon’s politicians used their recent deal with Israel to show their solidarity.

Many Lebanese now fear that amid global and regional powers, their cause might get lost.