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Oil Prices Surge as Middle East War Escalates


Sat 14 Mar 2026 | 12:00 AM
Oil storage tanks in Osaka Bay, Japan Source: Bloomberg
Oil storage tanks in Osaka Bay, Japan Source: Bloomberg
Taarek Refaat

Global energy markets have witnessed a sharp surge in oil prices following the outbreak of a military confrontation between the United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the other, reigniting concerns over the security of energy supplies from the Middle East, the heart of the global oil industry.

Market data released on Friday showed that Brent crude oil, the global benchmark for oil pricing, has surged by around 42% since the start of the conflict. Prices climbed from $72.48 per barrel on February 27 to about $103.14 at Friday’s close, marking a strong 11% weekly gain.

Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude, the main U.S. oil benchmark, posted an even sharper rise, jumping more than 47% since the conflict began to reach roughly $98.71 per barrel, highlighting the level of anxiety gripping global markets.

Latest Oil Prices:

WTI Crude • 98.71 +2.98 +3.11%

Brent Crude • 103.9 +3.41 +3.39%

Murban Crude • 114.9 -2.81 -2.39%

Louisiana Light • 88.30 +1.59 +1.83%

WTI Midland • 101.0 +3.75 +3.85%

Opec Basket • 120.9 +15.80 +15.04%

Mars • 17 hours 116.2 +5.07 +4.56%

Gasoline • 3.041 +0.077 +2.59%

Natural Gas • 3.131 -0.102 -3.15%

The steep rise reflects growing investor fears that global oil supplies could face major disruptions if the war spreads further across the region. The Middle East holds some of the world’s largest oil reserves and hosts several strategic maritime routes critical for global energy trade.

Markets are particularly concerned about potential threats to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most vital energy chokepoints. Nearly one-fifth of global oil trade passes through the strait each day, and any disruption could significantly tighten global supply and push prices even higher.

Oil markets typically react swiftly to geopolitical crises, especially when they occur in major energy-producing regions. As military tensions escalate, investors often rush to secure oil supplies in anticipation of shortages, driving prices upward rapidly.

The latest surge comes at a time when markets were already attempting to balance rising global energy demand with production policies among major oil-producing countries, making the war an additional factor intensifying market volatility.

Rising oil prices extend far beyond the energy sector, with broader implications for the global economy. Higher fuel costs generally translate into increased transportation and production expenses, which could push inflation higher across many major economies.

If oil prices remain above $100 per barrel, analysts warn that central banks worldwide could face additional pressure as they attempt to manage inflation while navigating slowing economic growth.