Jim Metz, a former Pentagon official, has voiced concerns that the United States' capability to engage in a potential conflict in Asia could be compromised by its ongoing support for both Israel and Ukraine.
In a strategic shift that has received little public discussion, the Pentagon in 2018 moved towards a "one-war" concept, prioritizing the ability to defeat either China or Russia in a single conflict over the previous costly readiness to combat two major adversaries simultaneously.
Shift to "One-War" Strategy
Metz highlighted the 2018 shift in Pentagon strategy to a "one-war" concept, which emphasized the U.S. military's readiness to defeat either China or Russia in a singular conflict, moving away from the ability to simultaneously engage two regional foes.
Impact of Supporting Ukraine and Israel
The crux of Metz's concern lies in whether the material support provided to Ukraine and Israel currently undermines the U.S. forces' capability to respond to potential aggression from China or North Korea in the future.
Financial and Resource Strain
Analysts have noted that reverting to a "two-war" model would be prohibitively expensive, necessitating a significant increase in Pentagon funding, an option that is currently unfeasible. The U.S. military establishment is already facing a personnel crisis, with doubts about its ability to muster sufficient forces for two simultaneous conflicts without unpopular political mobilization.
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