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Dollar jumps as Middle East war sends oil above $100 a barrel


Mon 09 Mar 2026 | 07:49 AM
Basant Ahmed

The dollar surged on Monday as soaring oil prices ​sent investors scrambling for cash on worries that a protracted Middle East war could severely disrupt energy supplies and hurt ‌global growth, Reuters reported.

Against the surging greenback, the euro and sterling were down roughly 1% in Asia, while the Aussie and even the safe-haven Swiss franc similarly tumbled, as the dollar proved king.

The U.S. dollar's finding no shortage of support from traditional haven considerations and obviously, the U.S.' net energy exporter status in sharp contrast ​to most of Europe," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.

The broad market rout triggered indiscriminate selling across ​assets on Monday.

Stocks, bonds and precious metals slid as investors, spooked by the impact of surging oil prices ⁠on global inflation and economic growth, turned risk-averse and cashed in on some of their most profitable trades.

"The longer this goes on, the ​more exponential the damage becomes in a domino effect, which is exactly what oil is now showing to a market that saw some takes ​last week that things could be a lot worse," said Michael Every, senior global strategist at Rabobank.

If we are still in the same position this time next week, things could be quite terrifying."

The euro last traded 0.9% lower at $1.1517, having slid to a 3-1/2-month low earlier in the session, while sterling slid 1% to $1.3294.

Against ​the Swiss franc , the dollar was up 0.75% at 0.7817. The Australian and New Zealand dollars slid 0.77% and 0.5%, respectively.

Analysts have said ​Asia could bear the brunt of the energy price shock, due to the region's heavy reliance on oil and gas from the Middle East.

The dollar was ‌a whisker ⁠away from the 159 yen level in Asia, rising 0.55% to 158.70 , and it jumped 1% against the South Korean won to 1,496.40.

"The real question is how high and how long prices stay elevated - because that's what will ultimately determine the economic fallout," said Deepali Bhargava, regional head of research for Asia-Pacific at ING.

"A prolonged conflict, coupled with continued currency weakness, would feed more directly into inflation pressures across the region."

Iran ​on Monday named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed ​his father, opens new tab as Supreme Leader, ⁠signaling that hardliners remain firmly in charge in Tehran a week into the war.

The conflict has already led to the suspension of around a fifth of global crude and natural gas supplies, as Tehran targets ships in the ​vital Strait of Hormuz between its shores and Oman, and attacks energy infrastructure across the region.